Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Campaign Week In Review: Studies Show PLP Wins Week 1

The first week and a half of the campaign have been interesting for a number of reasons.

Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good, and I think that the first 10 days of the campaign, while relatively low key, were very positive for the PLP.

The PLP held the upper hand in knowing the timing of the election and cued up a strong first week while the other party scrambled, seemed surprised and disorganized.

The PLP started the campaign with a speech by Dr. Brown at the PLP Banquet which left many Bermudians invigorated.

Most revealingly about the UBP during this week was the state of unpreparedness illustrated by their: Agenda for Change

The UBP Agenda was notable for two reasons:

1) It was devoid of any real content, and very little substance and;

2) What little content existed was full of errors and looked incredibly amateurish and rushed.

Today the PLP got more TV ads online, and are looking organized and on point than ever.

Seven weeks is a pretty long campaign so clearly both parties need to pace themselves and build momentum for a strong finish, but the Premier cleverly played some key cards earl.

Meanwhile, the UBP's actions suggests that they are looking at numbers or are receiving feedback that shows that their core support (whites) is weak and that they needed to try and shore that up quickly, hence Dunkley's constant "I love blk people rant."

I think it's safe to say that the UBP is facing the very real prospects of not just a defeat yet again but of a dismantling for good. with no real youth movement and gibbons ( the brains) and Dunkley (the muscle/money) seeming ready for retirement to the golf course and their children's foriegn educations - this is the end f the line for party forever linked to its racist past.

It's still early, and both parties will have their good weeks and make some mistakes along the way, but I'd say that the early days of the campaign were positive for the PLP, who must be feeling pretty good right now about their prospects.